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Murphy's Law Explained

 

                     The Contributions Of Edsel Murphy
                           To The Understanding
                    Of The Behavior Of Inanimate Objects

                              D.L. Klipstein


Abstract - Consideration is given to the effects of the contributions of
Edsel Murphy to the discipline of electronics engineering.  His law is
stated in both general and special form.  Examples are presented to
corroborate the author's thesis that the law is universally applicable.

                          I.  Introduction

     It has long been the consideration of the author that the contributions
of Edsel Murphy, specifically his general and special laws delineating the
behavior of inanimate objects, have not been fully appreciated.  It is
deemed that this is, in large part, due to the inherent simplicity of the
law itself.

     It is the intent of the author to show, by references drawn from the
literature, that the law of Murphy has produced numerous corollaries.

     It is hoped that by noting these examples, the reader may obtain a
greater appreciation of Edsel Murphy, his law, and its ramifications in
engineering and science.

     As is well known to those versed in the state-of-the-art, Murphy's Law
states that "If anything can go wrong, it will."  Or, to state it in more
exact mathematical form:

                   1 + 1 = 2                                     (1)

     where "=" is the mathematical symbol for hardly ever.

     Some authorities have held that Murphy's Law was first expounded by H.
Cohen [1] when he stated that "If anything can go wrong, it will - during
the demonstration.''  However, Cohen has made it clear that the broader
scope of Murphy's general law obviously takes precedence.

     To show the all-pervasive nature of Murphy's work, the author offers a
small sample of the application of the law in electronics engineering.

                       II.  General Engineering

II.1.  A patent application will be preceded by one week by a similar
         application made by an independent worker.
II.2.  The more innocuous a design change appears, the further its influence
         will extend.
II.3.  All warranty and guarantee clauses become void upon payment of
         invoice.
II.4.  The necessity of making a major design change increases as the
         fabrication of the system approaches completion.
II.5.  Firmness of delivery dates is inversely proportional to the tightness
         of the schedule.
II.6.  Dimensions will always be expressed in the least usable term.
       Velocity, for example, will be expressed in furlongs per
       fortnight.  [2]
II.7.  An important Instruction Manual or Operating Manual will have been
         discarded by the Receiving Department.
II.8.  Suggestions made by the Value Analysis group will increase costs and
         reduce capabilities.
II.9.  Original drawings will be mangled by the copying machine.  [3]

                           III.  Mathematics

III.1.  In any given miscalculation, the fault will never be placed if more
          than one person is involved.
III.2.  Any error that can creep in, will.  It will be in the direction that
          will do the most damage to the calculation.
III.3.  All constants are variables.
III.4.  In any given computation, the figure that is most obviously correct
          will be the source of error.
III.5.  A decimal will always be misplaced.
I11.6.  In a complex calculation, one factor from the numerator will always
          move into the denominator.

                    IV.  Prototyping And Production

IV.1.  Any wire cut to length will be too short.
IV.2.  Tolerances will accumulate unidirectionally toward maximum difficulty
         of assembly.
IV.3.  Identical units tested under identical conditions will not be
         identical in the field.
IV.4.  The availability of a component is inversely proportional to the need
         for that component.
IV.5.  If a project requires n components, there will be n-1 units in
         stock.  [4]
IV.6.  If a particular resistance is needed, that value will not be
         available.  Further, it cannot be developed with any available
         series or parallel combination.  [5]
IV.7.  A dropped tool will land where it can do the most damage (also known
         as the law of selective gravitation).
IV.8.  A device selected at random from a group having 99% reliability, will
         be a member of the 1% group.
IV.9.  When one connects a 3-phase line, the phase sequence will be
         wrong.  [6]
IV.10.  A motor will rotate in the wrong, direction.  [7]
IV.11.  The probability of a dimension being omitted from a plan or drawing
          is directly proportional to its importance.
IV.I2.  Interchangeable parts won't.
IV.13.  Probability of failure of a component, assembly, subsystem or system
          is inversely proportional to ease of repair or replacement.
IV.14.  If a prototype functions perfectly, subsequent production units will
          malfunction.
IV.15.  Components that must not and cannot be assembled improperly will be.
IV.16.  A dc meter will be used on an overly sensitive range and will be
          wired in backward.  [8]
IV.17.  The most delicate component will drop.  [9]
IV.18.  Graphic recorders will deposit more ink on humans than on
          paper.  [10]
IV.19.  If a circuit cannot fail, it will.  [11]
IV.20.  A fail-safe circuit will destroy others.  [12]
IV.21.  An instantaneous power-supply crowbar circuit will operate too
          late.  [13]
lV.22.  A transistor protected by a fast-acting fuse will protect the fuse
          by blowing first.  [14]
IV.23.  A self-starting oscillator won't.
IV.24.  A crystal oscillator will oscillate at the wrong frequency - if it
          oscillates.
IV.25.  A pnp transistor will be an npn.  [15]
IV.26.  A zero-temperature-coefficient capacitor used in a critical circuit
          will have a TC of -750 ppm/deg. C.
IV.27.  A failure will not appear till a unit has passed Final
          Inspection.  [16]
IV.28.  A purchased component or instrument will meet its specs long enough,
          and only long enough, to pass Incoming Inspection.  [17]
IV.29.  If an obviously defective component is re-placed in an instrument
          with an intermittent fault, the fault will reappear after the
          instrument is returned to service.  [18]
IV.30.  After the last of 16 mounting screws has been removed from an access
          cover, it will be discovered that the wrong access cover has been
          removed.  [19]
IV.31.  After an access cover has been secured by 16 hold-down screws, it
          will be discovered that the gasket has been omitted.  [20]
IV.32.  After an instrument has been fully assembled, extra components will
          be found on the bench.
IV.33.  Hermetic seals will leak.

                            V.  Specifying

V.1.  Specified environmental conditions will always be exceeded.
V.2.  Any safety factor set as a result of practical experience will be
        exceeded.
V.3.  Manufacturers' spec sheets will be incorrect by a factor of 0.5 or
        2.0, depending on which multiplier gives the most optimistic value.
        For salesmen's claims these factors will be 0.1 or 10.0.
V.4.  In an instrument or device characterized by a number of plus-or-minus
        errors, the total error will be the sum of a11 errors adding in the
        same direction.
V.5.  In any given price estimate, cost of equipment will exceed estimate by
        a factor of 3.  [21]
V.6.  In specifications, Murphy's Law supersedes Ohm's.


References *

[I] H. Cohen. Roundhill Associates, private communication.
[2] P. Birman, Kepco, private communication.
[3] T. Emma, Western Union, private communication.
[4] K. Sueker, Westinghouse Semiconductor, private communication.
[5] ----------, loc cit.
[6] ----------, loc cit.
[7] ----------, loc cit.
[8] P. Muchnick, Sorensen, private communication.
[9] A. Rosenfeld, Micro-Power, private communication.
[10] P. Muchnick, loc cit.
[11] R. Cushman, McCann/ITM, private communication.
[12] ----------, loc cit.
[13] ----------, loc cit.
[14] S. Froud, Industrial Communications Associates, private
     communication.
[15] L. LeVieux, Texas Instruments, private communication.
[16] G. Toner, Sylvania, private communication.
[17] H. Roth, Power Designs, private communication.
[18] W. Buck, Marconi Instruments, private communication.
[19] A. de la Lastra, SBD Systems, private communication.
[20] ----------, loc cit.
[21] P. Dietz, Data Technology, private communication.

* In some cases where no reference is given, the source material was
misplaced during preparation of this paper (another example of
Murphy's Law).  In accordance with the law, these misplaced documents
will turn up on the date of publication of this paper.


Final Note
     The man who developed one of the most profound concepts of the
twentieth century is practically unknown to most engineers. He is a victim
of his own law.  Destined for a secure place in the engineering hall of
fame, something went wrong.

     His real contribution lay not merely in the discovery of the law but
more in its universality and in its impact.  The law itself, though
inherently simple, has formed a foundation on which future generations will
build.

     In fact, the law first came to him in all its simplicity when his
bride-to-be informed him of the impending birth of an heir to the family
fortunes.

This article was added to LaughNet on Sunday 07 August, 2005.


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